Fantasy football luck vs skill
Every manager says they've been unlucky. This settles it: your record next to the one your scoring deserved, how well you set your lineups and what injuries cost you.
Open your league See the example league
Free, no sign-up. Works with Sleeper and public ESPN leagues: your username, or your league's link or ID.
How luck is measured
Luck is the gap between a team's actual record and its all-play record: how it would have done playing every other team every week. A team that scores the third-most points every week but keeps drawing the top scorer has a losing record and a winning all-play record. That gap is the schedule, not the manager.
And skill
- Lineup calls. The points each team's starters scored as a share of the best lineup it could have started, and the wins the bench cost.
- Pickups. What each team got from waivers and free agents: the points its pickups added in its lineup over what it would otherwise have started, and the wins those points were worth.
- Injury luck. The points each team lost to major injuries, net of the players who filled in.
Questions
What's points against? The points scored against you each week. It's the clearest single number for schedule luck, and the reason this site is called Points Against.
Does it work for my league? Any Sleeper league, and public ESPN leagues.
More from Points Against
Playoff odds · Weekly recap · Trade analyzer · Waivers · Live matchups · League history